South Africa is apprehensive about striking a new trade deal with the US and would rather maintain existing relations with the worlds largest economy, the nations top trade official said.
South Africa is currently party to the so-called Generalized System of Preferences and the African Growth and Opportunity Act, or AGOA, which together allow most sub-Saharan African countries duty-free access to the American market for almost 7,000 products.
AGOA is due to expire in 2025, while Richard Neal, the chairman of the House of Representatives Ways & Means Committee, has called for the GSP – the USs oldest and largest trade-preference program for the worlds poorest economies – to be updated.
We are hoping we can keep the current unilateral agreement in place, Lionel October, the director-general of South Africas Department of Trade, Industry and Competition, said in an interview last week.
We are working more on continuing GSP preferences, hopefully getting an extension to AGOA, even though we might have to give some concessions. But rather that than a full-blown trade agreement that may take four to five years to negotiate,” he said.
Trade in goods and services between South Africa and America was valued at $17.8 billion in 2019, while $2 billion of exports from Africas most-industrialized economy were cleared under the GSP and AGOA, according to U.S. government data.
South African officials plan to meet their American counterparts early next month to discuss trade relations under President Joe Bidens administration, according to October.
We are planning to put a lot of effort into our relationship with the US, he said.
While Kenya is negotiating a bilateral trade deal with the US, a country-to-country deal isnt an option for South Africa because it is part of a regional customs union with Botswana, Lesotho, Eswatini and Namibia.
The government also fears that any new accord could be accompanied by conditions that would prejudice local industry, October said.
Here are other key issues addressed by October:
Local Manufacturing
The government will need to maintain some form of protection for South African manufacturers if it is to build up local production capacity and create employment, according to October.
We have been relying on our mining and finance sector to drive growth, he said. Countries only become successful if they have manufacturing and agriculture.
That is where the high-paid jobs are, it is where the mass employment is. We need protection when it is needed. Obviously you cant become uncompetitive.
Automobile Industry
Africas largest auto-making nation is experiencing an investment boom, with the worlds biggest vehicle producers adding to manufacturing capacity.
Expansion plans being implemented by Ford Motor Co. will generate investment totalling R33 billion ($2.3 billion) and see the construction of 13 new factories and the overhaul of a rail link between Pretoria, the capital, and the southern coastal city of Port Elizabeth by 2025.
Toyota is ramping up production of its hybrid cars, while Isuzu Motors Ltd. is reviving an old General Motors Co. plant in the south of the country.
The government is now reaping the fruits of a 20-year effort to build up the industry, which generates almost 15.5% of the nations exports and employs more than 100,000 skilled workers, according to October.
Steel Production
The steel industry lies at the heart of the countrys industrialization drive and a master plan to encourage output will be announced soon.
Demand has already been picking up, driven by an infrastructure-development drive and an expanding mining industry, with investments being made in furnaces and plants being modernized.
The government wants to substantially increase local participation in the steel industry, including taking up a bigger stake in ArcelorMittal SAs South African unit, October said.
Trade Relations
A new continental free-trade accord that came into effect this year will increase African countries market access, encourage regional trade and promote industrialization – a goal that has been beyond the reach of most small African nations, October said.
South Africa intends to step up trade with Kenya, Ghana, Nigeria and Egypt, and work with them to make in-roads in the automotive sector.
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